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Risk Off Trade Inensifies in Holiday Thin Conditions

December 29th, 2011

We finally saw some holiday volatility on Wednesday as we had warned, with the Euro leading the way and eventually dropping below 1.2900 to stall just shy of the critical 2011 lows from January at 1.2870. There have been no specific fundamental catalysts to speak of for the risk off price action, but it seems [...]

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USD Correction On Tap, British Pound To Hold Range Ahead Of 2012

December 29th, 2011

DJ FXCM Dollar Index   Index Last High Low Daily Change (%) Daily Range (% of ATR) DJ-FXCM Dollar Index 10022 10024.65 9930.53 0.73 134.87%     The Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) is 0.73 percent higher from the open after moving 135 percent of its average true range, and the shift in trader sentiment [...]

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Guest Commentary: Gold & Silver Daily Outlook 12.28.2011

December 29th, 2011

Gold and silver started the last week of the year with moderate falls. Will this slow crawl down of precious metals continue this week? Today, the KOF Economic Barometer report will be published.   Gold slightly declined on Monday by 0.65% to $1,595.5; silver on the other hand slightly declined by 1.18% to $28.74. The [...]

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USD/JPY Classical Technical Report 12.29

December 29th, 2011

USD/JPY:The market has managed to successfully hold above the bottom of the daily Ichimoku cloud to further strengthen our constructive outlook and we look for the formation of a inter-day higher low by 76.55 ahead of the next major upside extension back towards and eventually through the recent multi-day highs by 79.55. Ultimately, only a [...]

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EUR/USD Classical Technical Report 12.29

December 29th, 2011

EUR/USD: The market is now looking to establish below the critical 2011 lows from January 2011 at 1.2870 and a weekly close below this level will open the door for the next major downside extension towards the 1.2500 area. Overall, we retain a strong bearish outlook for this market and look for setbacks to extend towards [...]

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China Cuts Reserve Requirement Ratio by 50bps, Inspires Intraday Bids

November 30th, 2011

Early session price action saw a resumption of risk off trade, with the lack of positive headlines or signs of resolution at the Eurozone FinMin meeting inspiring a fresh round of intraday risk liquidation. But markets remained well supported on dips and the picture changed ahead of the North American open as news hit the [...]

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EUR/USD Classical Technical Report 11.30

November 30th, 2011

EUR/USD: The market remains under some intense pressure and is now fixated on a retest of the key October lows at 1.3145. Look for any rallies to be well capped below 1.3500 on a daily close basis, while ultimately, only back above 1.3870 would negate outlook. Once 1.3145 is taken out, it will negate the corrective [...]

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USD/JPY Classical Technical Report 11.30

November 30th, 2011

  USD/JPY:The market has managed to successfully hold above the bottom of the daily Ichimoku cloud to further strengthen our constructive outlook and we look for the formation of a inter-day higher low by 76.55 ahead of the next major upside extension back towards and eventually through the recent multi-day highs by 79.55. Ultimately, only [...]

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USD Threatens Upward Trend, Aussie Outlook Remains Bearish

November 30th, 2011

Index Last High Low Daily Change (%) Daily Range (% of ATR) DJ-FXCM Dollar Index 9939.04 10018.67 9900.67 -0.61 139.49%     Although the Dow Jones-FXCM U.S. Dollar Index (Ticker: USDollar) remains 0.61 percent lower from the open, it seems as though we’re seeing interim support around 9,900, and the short-term rebound may gather pace over the [...]

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GBP/USD Classical Technical Report 11.30

November 30th, 2011

  GBP/USD: The latest daily close below 1.5625 further confirms our bearish outlook and should now open the door for a bearish resumption back towards the key October lows at 1.5270 over the coming days. Next key support comes in at 1.5400, while any intraday rallies are expected to be very well capped below 1.5800 on [...]

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